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R.R.R.R.M.arima与AR模型选择的体质之间的区别
原标题:difference between auto.arima and ar for AR model selection in R

在尝试利用这些方法找到最佳的AR(p)模式时,我取得了非常不同的结果。

ar {stats}: http://stat.ethz.ch/R-manual/R-patched/library/stats/html/ar.html

auto.arima {forecast}: http://rgm2.lab.nig.ac.jp/RGM2/func.php?rd_id=forecast:auto.arima

# x is some time series
ar(x)
auto.arima(x, d=0, max.q=0)

I cannot put data set here as it is very large but for the same data set, ar gives 44 whereas auto.arima gives 5. They both use AIC minimization. Does someone know why they yield so different results and which one is better?

最佳回答

By default, ar() uses Yule-Walker estimation, not MLE.

By default, auto.arima() limits the model size to five parameters.

There are other differences, but those two alone will explain most of the differences between the fitted models.

更好,这要求你们作出决定。 它取决于该模型的应用和目的。

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